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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-11

Hamburg – Schalke 04

Home 47% 2.15 fair
Draw 31% 3.23 fair
Away 22% 4.45 fair
Expected Goals1.8
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score33%
Over 2.527%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 44.4% → 46.5% +2.1 pp
Draw 32.8% → 31.0% -1.8 pp
Away 22.8% → 22.4% -0.4 pp
Over 2.5 24.2% → 27.2% +2.9 pp
Both teams to score 31.6% → 32.7% +1.1 pp
Expected Goals 1.71 → 1.8 +0.09
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.8
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.69 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.41 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

46.5% 2.15 —
31.0% 3.23 —
22.4% 4.45 —
77.5% 1.29 —
53.5% 1.87 —
69.0% 1.45 —

Half-time result

33.9% 2.95 —
50.4% 1.98 —
15.7% 6.36 —

Half-time double chance

84.3% 1.19 —
66.1% 1.51 —
49.6% 2.02 —

Both halves

11.4% 8.77 —

HT/FT

28.6% 3.49 —
4.3% 22.99 —
16.7% 5.99 —
23.5% 4.26 —
10.2% 9.81 —
3.2% 31.65 —
11.3% 8.82 —

HT/FT double chance

73.2% 1.37 —
56.5% 1.77 —
39.0% 2.57 —
37.4% 2.68 —
42.1% 2.38 —
19.8% 5.06 —
44.6% 2.24 —
39.5% 2.53 —
48.2% 2.08 —

Total goals

83.5% 1.2 —
53.3% 1.88 —
27.2% 3.68 —
10.8% 9.22 —
46.7% 2.14 —
72.9% 1.37 —
89.1% 1.12 —

1st-half goals

56.6% 1.77 —
20.1% 4.97 —

Home team goals

67.2% 1.49 —
31.0% 3.22 —

Away team goals

49.0% 2.04 —
14.8% 6.73 —

Both to score

32.7% 3.06 —

Corners

70.8% 1.41 —
60.1% 1.66 —
49.2% 2.03 —
38.6% 2.59 —
29.0% 3.44 —
39.9% 2.51 —
50.8% 1.97 —
61.4% 1.63 —
71.0% 1.41 —

Home corners

71.4% 1.4 —
56.0% 1.79 —
40.8% 2.45 —

Away corners

62.3% 1.6 —
45.7% 2.19 —
31.1% 3.22 —

Cards

76.5% 1.31 —
59.6% 1.68 —
43.5% 2.3 —
29.4% 3.4 —
40.4% 2.48 —
56.5% 1.77 —
70.6% 1.42 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds