Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-04
Bayern Munich – Paderborn
Home
83%
1.2 fair
Draw
12%
8.33 fair
Away
5%
20.49 fair
Expected Goals3.31
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score40%
Over 2.564%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
82.0%
→
83.1%
+1.2 pp
Draw
13.1%
→
12.0%
-1.1 pp
Away
4.9%
→
4.9%
-0.0 pp
Over 2.5
57.6%
→
64.5%
+6.9 pp
Both teams to score
35.1%
→
39.8%
+4.7 pp
Expected Goals
3.01 →
3.31
+0.3
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 83.1% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.33 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.49 | — | |||
| 95.1% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.92 | — | |||
| 88.0% | 1.14 | — |
Half-time result
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.31 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 88.0% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — |
Both halves
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — |
HT/FT
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 7.1% | 14.03 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.23 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.25 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.4 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 86.4% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.95 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 12.08 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.48 | — |
Total goals
| 96.3% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.31 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.73 | — |
Home team goals
| 93.7% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — |
Away team goals
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 10.3% | 9.72 | — |
Both to score
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — |
Corners
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — |
Home corners
| 88.7% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.48 | — |
Away corners
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.39 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.18 | — |
Cards
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.42 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.87 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 87.3% | 1.15 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds