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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-20

Brighton – Ipswich

Home 75% 1.34 fair
Draw 15% 6.76 fair
Away 11% 9.38 fair
Expected Goals3.8
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.573%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 73.7% → 74.6% +0.8 pp
Draw 14.8% → 14.8% +0.0 pp
Away 11.5% → 10.7% -0.8 pp
Over 2.5 73.5% → 72.9% -0.6 pp
Both teams to score 60.7% → 58.9% -1.7 pp
Expected Goals 3.82 → 3.8 -0.02
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.8
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.64 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.34 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

74.6% 1.34 —
14.8% 6.76 —
10.7% 9.38 —
89.3% 1.12 —
25.4% 3.93 —
85.2% 1.17 —

Half-time result

58.9% 1.7 —
26.3% 3.8 —
14.8% 6.77 —

Half-time double chance

85.2% 1.17 —
41.1% 2.43 —
73.7% 1.36 —

Both halves

35.4% 2.82 —

HT/FT

55.2% 1.81 —
3.1% 32.57 —
15.7% 6.38 —
7.7% 12.99 —
3.7% 27.1 —
4.0% 24.94 —
7.1% 14.12 —

HT/FT double chance

81.7% 1.22 —
74.5% 1.34 —
14.3% 6.97 —
66.0% 1.52 —
66.6% 1.5 —
14.8% 6.76 —
31.1% 3.22 —
29.4% 3.4 —
21.8% 4.6 —

Total goals

89.2% 1.12 —
72.9% 1.37 —
52.3% 1.91 —
10.8% 9.23 —
27.1% 3.69 —
47.7% 2.1 —

1st-half goals

87.4% 1.14 —
61.7% 1.62 —

Home team goals

93.6% 1.07 —
77.0% 1.3 —

Away team goals

62.9% 1.59 —
26.4% 3.78 —

Both to score

58.9% 1.7 —

Corners

69.4% 1.44 —
58.7% 1.7 —
47.8% 2.09 —
37.4% 2.68 —
28.7% 3.48 —
41.3% 2.42 —
52.2% 1.92 —
62.6% 1.6 —
71.3% 1.4 —

Home corners

79.3% 1.26 —
65.8% 1.52 —
52.3% 1.91 —

Away corners

47.1% 2.12 —
30.4% 3.29 —
18.0% 5.56 —

Cards

75.4% 1.33 —
58.3% 1.72 —
42.3% 2.37 —
28.6% 3.49 —
41.7% 2.4 —
57.7% 1.73 —
71.4% 1.4 —

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