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Fixtures / EPL / 2027-01-03

Man City – Tottenham

Home 70% 1.43 fair
Draw 17% 5.81 fair
Away 13% 7.85 fair
Expected Goals3.35
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.565%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 70.7% → 70.0% -0.7 pp
Draw 17.1% → 17.2% +0.1 pp
Away 12.2% → 12.7% +0.6 pp
Over 2.5 65.2% → 65.0% -0.2 pp
Both teams to score 54.8% → 55.3% +0.5 pp
Expected Goals 3.37 → 3.35 -0.02
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.35
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.93 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.25 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

70.0% 1.43 —
17.2% 5.81 —
12.7% 7.85 —
87.3% 1.15 —
29.9% 3.34 —
82.8% 1.21 —

Half-time result

61.7% 1.62 —
28.4% 3.52 —
9.9% 10.07 —

Half-time double chance

90.1% 1.11 —
38.3% 2.61 —
71.6% 1.4 —

Both halves

29.3% 3.41 —

HT/FT

54.5% 1.83 —
5.5% 18.32 —
13.8% 7.24 —
9.1% 10.98 —
5.5% 18.25 —
5.6% 17.92 —

HT/FT double chance

82.9% 1.21 —
75.5% 1.32 —
21.7% 4.6 —
64.3% 1.55 —
63.5% 1.57 —
15.4% 6.51 —
27.3% 3.67 —
26.6% 3.76 —
22.8% 4.38 —

Total goals

96.5% 1.04 —
84.7% 1.18 —
65.0% 1.54 —
42.7% 2.34 —
15.3% 6.55 —
35.0% 2.86 —
57.3% 1.74 —

1st-half goals

81.2% 1.23 —
49.8% 2.01 —

Home team goals

91.1% 1.1 —
69.5% 1.44 —

Away team goals

60.6% 1.65 —
23.6% 4.23 —

Both to score

55.3% 1.81 —

Corners

80.0% 1.25 —
70.9% 1.41 —
60.7% 1.65 —
50.4% 1.98 —
40.7% 2.46 —
29.1% 3.43 —
39.3% 2.55 —
49.6% 2.02 —
59.3% 1.69 —

Home corners

84.4% 1.19 —
73.0% 1.37 —
60.2% 1.66 —

Away corners

58.1% 1.72 —
41.3% 2.42 —
27.4% 3.64 —

Cards

74.5% 1.34 —
57.0% 1.76 —
40.9% 2.45 —
27.1% 3.69 —
43.0% 2.32 —
59.1% 1.69 —
72.9% 1.37 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds