Fixtures / League One / 2027-01-02
Plymouth – Luton
Home
43%
2.33 fair
Draw
23%
4.37 fair
Away
34%
2.92 fair
Expected Goals3.28
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.563%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
43.9%
→
42.9%
-1.0 pp
Draw
22.6%
→
22.9%
+0.3 pp
Away
33.6%
→
34.3%
+0.7 pp
Over 2.5
64.5%
→
63.5%
-1.0 pp
Both teams to score
65.2%
→
64.5%
-0.7 pp
Expected Goals
3.32 →
3.28
-0.04
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.37 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.06 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — |
Both halves
| 13.1% | 7.66 | — |
HT/FT
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.41 | — | |||
| 12.4% | 8.08 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.31 | — | |||
| 8.9% | 11.22 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 33.22 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 16.89 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — |
Total goals
| 96.1% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 83.7% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 16.3% | 6.13 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — |
1st-half goals
| 82.4% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.92 | — |
Away team goals
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — |
Both to score
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — |
Corners
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — |
Home corners
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — |
Away corners
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — |
Cards
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds