Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-25
Burnley – Birmingham
Home
48%
2.07 fair
Draw
26%
3.9 fair
Away
26%
3.83 fair
Expected Goals2.61
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
19 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
56.3%
→
48.2%
-8.0 pp
Draw
25.6%
→
25.7%
+0.0 pp
Away
18.1%
→
26.1%
+8.0 pp
Over 2.5
41.6%
→
48.4%
+6.8 pp
Both teams to score
42.3%
→
51.5%
+9.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.35 →
2.61
+0.26
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.9 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.61 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 82.2% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — |
Both halves
| 12.5% | 7.98 | — |
HT/FT
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.45 | — | |||
| 9.1% | 11.0 | — | |||
| 15.6% | 6.4 | — | |||
| 9.9% | 10.11 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.05 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.17 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — |
Total goals
| 92.5% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.78 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — |
Home team goals
| 78.4% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — |
Away team goals
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.49 | — |
Both to score
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — |
Corners
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — |
Home corners
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — |
Away corners
| 57.3% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.78 | — |
Cards
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.57 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds