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Fixtures / League One / 2027-01-01

Reading – Milton Keynes Dons

Home 52% 1.91 fair
Draw 22% 4.46 fair
Away 25% 3.96 fair
Expected Goals3.23
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.563%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 53.1% → 52.3% -0.7 pp
Draw 22.1% → 22.4% +0.3 pp
Away 24.8% → 25.3% +0.5 pp
Over 2.5 62.5% → 62.7% +0.1 pp
Both teams to score 62.0% → 62.6% +0.5 pp
Expected Goals 3.24 → 3.23 -0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.23
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.94 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.3 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

52.3% 1.91 —
22.4% 4.46 —
25.3% 3.96 —
74.7% 1.34 —
47.7% 2.1 —
77.6% 1.29 —

Half-time result

39.1% 2.56 —
44.9% 2.23 —
16.0% 6.25 —

Half-time double chance

84.0% 1.19 —
60.9% 1.64 —
55.1% 1.81 —

Both halves

16.6% 6.01 —

HT/FT

30.1% 3.32 —
5.8% 17.24 —
3.2% 31.55 —
19.4% 5.17 —
13.0% 7.67 —
12.5% 8.01 —
3.6% 28.01 —
9.6% 10.42 —

HT/FT double chance

68.3% 1.46 —
65.2% 1.53 —
34.5% 2.9 —
42.3% 2.36 —
45.8% 2.19 —
22.1% 4.52 —
38.8% 2.58 —
44.3% 2.26 —
38.7% 2.58 —

Total goals

95.9% 1.04 —
83.1% 1.2 —
62.7% 1.6 —
40.2% 2.49 —
16.9% 5.93 —
37.3% 2.68 —
59.8% 1.67 —

1st-half goals

63.3% 1.58 —
26.3% 3.8 —

Home team goals

85.6% 1.17 —
57.6% 1.74 —

Away team goals

72.8% 1.37 —
36.7% 2.72 —

Both to score

62.6% 1.6 —

Corners

71.9% 1.39 —
61.8% 1.62 —
51.0% 1.96 —
40.9% 2.44 —
31.5% 3.17 —
38.2% 2.62 —
49.0% 2.04 —
59.1% 1.69 —
68.5% 1.46 —

Home corners

67.6% 1.48 —
52.6% 1.9 —
38.3% 2.61 —

Away corners

67.5% 1.48 —
51.7% 1.93 —
37.2% 2.69 —

Cards

61.4% 1.63 —
41.3% 2.42 —
25.1% 3.98 —
13.6% 7.34 —
58.7% 1.7 —
74.8% 1.34 —
86.4% 1.16 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds