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Fixtures / League One / 2027-01-01

Barnsley – Notts County

Home 36% 2.79 fair
Draw 27% 3.7 fair
Away 37% 2.7 fair
Expected Goals2.55
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 35.8% → 35.9% +0.1 pp
Draw 26.8% → 27.1% +0.2 pp
Away 37.4% → 37.1% -0.3 pp
Over 2.5 46.5% → 46.8% +0.3 pp
Both teams to score 51.8% → 52.2% +0.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.54 → 2.55 +0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.55
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.71 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.58 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

35.9% 2.79 —
27.1% 3.7 —
37.1% 2.7 —
62.9% 1.59 —
64.1% 1.56 —
73.0% 1.37 —

Half-time result

31.5% 3.18 —
46.1% 2.17 —
22.4% 4.46 —

Half-time double chance

77.6% 1.29 —
68.5% 1.46 —
53.9% 1.86 —

Both halves

8.7% 11.47 —

HT/FT

21.9% 4.57 —
6.3% 15.87 —
3.3% 30.49 —
12.6% 7.94 —
16.8% 5.95 —
16.7% 5.98 —
3.9% 25.38 —
17.1% 5.86 —

HT/FT double chance

57.6% 1.74 —
54.5% 1.84 —
43.1% 2.32 —
33.5% 2.98 —
43.6% 2.29 —
30.6% 3.27 —
34.7% 2.88 —
47.8% 2.09 —
54.5% 1.83 —

Total goals

92.1% 1.09 —
72.6% 1.38 —
46.8% 2.14 —
25.6% 3.91 —
27.4% 3.65 —
53.2% 1.88 —
74.5% 1.34 —

1st-half goals

63.2% 1.58 —
26.1% 3.83 —

Home team goals

71.5% 1.4 —
36.1% 2.77 —

Away team goals

72.7% 1.37 —
36.7% 2.73 —

Both to score

52.2% 1.92 —

Corners

77.8% 1.29 —
68.3% 1.46 —
58.6% 1.71 —
48.6% 2.06 —
39.2% 2.55 —
31.7% 3.15 —
41.4% 2.42 —
51.4% 1.94 —
60.8% 1.64 —

Home corners

76.0% 1.32 —
62.2% 1.61 —
48.1% 2.08 —

Away corners

67.6% 1.48 —
52.2% 1.91 —
38.2% 2.62 —

Cards

79.3% 1.26 —
63.2% 1.58 —
46.6% 2.15 —
32.0% 3.13 —
36.8% 2.72 —
53.4% 1.87 —
68.0% 1.47 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds