Fixtures / Championship / 2027-01-01
Southampton – Cardiff
Home
70%
1.44 fair
Draw
17%
5.88 fair
Away
13%
7.45 fair
Expected Goals3.56
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.569%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
71.1%
→
69.6%
-1.5 pp
Draw
16.7%
→
17.0%
+0.3 pp
Away
12.2%
→
13.4%
+1.3 pp
Over 2.5
65.8%
→
68.9%
+3.1 pp
Both teams to score
55.6%
→
59.1%
+3.4 pp
Expected Goals
3.4 →
3.56
+0.16
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.88 | — | |||
| 13.4% | 7.45 | — | |||
| 86.6% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 83.0% | 1.2 | — |
Half-time result
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.33 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — |
Both halves
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — |
HT/FT
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.6 | — | |||
| 18.1% | 5.51 | — | |||
| 9.1% | 10.96 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.12 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.97 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.21 | — | |||
| 7.8% | 12.76 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.41 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.96 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.9 | — |
Total goals
| 86.9% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.6 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.92 | — |
1st-half goals
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — |
Home team goals
| 91.9% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.62 | — |
Both to score
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — |
Corners
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — |
Home corners
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — |
Away corners
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.54 | — |
Cards
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.9 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds