Fixtures / Championship / 2027-01-01
Middlesbrough – Preston
Home
65%
1.54 fair
Draw
20%
4.98 fair
Away
15%
6.77 fair
Expected Goals2.94
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
66.4%
→
65.1%
-1.3 pp
Draw
19.6%
→
20.1%
+0.5 pp
Away
14.0%
→
14.8%
+0.8 pp
Over 2.5
57.6%
→
56.3%
-1.2 pp
Both teams to score
51.2%
→
50.5%
-0.7 pp
Expected Goals
3.0 →
2.94
-0.06
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 20.1% | 4.98 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.77 | — | |||
| 85.2% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — |
Half-time result
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.32 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — |
Both halves
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — |
HT/FT
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.71 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.09 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.45 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.76 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.03 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 22.99 | — | |||
| 8.1% | 12.29 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.47 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.76 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.34 | — |
Total goals
| 94.8% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 20.9% | 4.79 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — |
Home team goals
| 87.4% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — |
Away team goals
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.62 | — |
Both to score
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — |
Corners
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — |
Home corners
| 89.5% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — |
Away corners
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.39 | — |
Cards
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.56 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 82.0% | 1.22 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds