Fixtures / Championship / 2027-01-01
Derby – Blackburn
Home
41%
2.43 fair
Draw
28%
3.61 fair
Away
31%
3.22 fair
Expected Goals2.39
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.542%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
42.1%
→
41.2%
-0.9 pp
Draw
27.4%
→
27.7%
+0.3 pp
Away
30.5%
→
31.1%
+0.5 pp
Over 2.5
42.3%
→
42.5%
+0.2 pp
Both teams to score
47.7%
→
48.5%
+0.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.37 →
2.39
+0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time result
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — |
Both halves
| 10.2% | 9.84 | — |
HT/FT
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.79 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.49 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.64 | — | |||
| 11.5% | 8.67 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.42 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.56 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — |
Total goals
| 90.9% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.61 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — |
Home team goals
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.68 | — |
Away team goals
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — |
Both to score
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — |
Corners
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — |
Home corners
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — |
Away corners
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — |
Cards
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.23 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds