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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-30

Ipswich – Chelsea

Home 22% 4.44 fair
Draw 20% 4.95 fair
Away 57% 1.74 fair
Expected Goals3.56
Most Likely Score1-2
Both teams to score66%
Over 2.569%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 21.8% → 22.5% +0.8 pp
Draw 19.7% → 20.2% +0.5 pp
Away 58.6% → 57.3% -1.3 pp
Over 2.5 68.6% → 68.7% +0.0 pp
Both teams to score 64.9% → 65.8% +0.8 pp
Expected Goals 3.55 → 3.56 +0.01
Most Likely Score 1-2 → 1-2
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.56
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.91 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.97 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

22.5% 4.44 —
20.2% 4.95 —
57.3% 1.74 —
42.7% 2.34 —
77.5% 1.29 —
79.8% 1.25 —

Half-time result

25.2% 3.97 —
32.4% 3.08 —
42.4% 2.36 —

Half-time double chance

57.6% 1.74 —
74.8% 1.34 —
67.6% 1.48 —

Both halves

4.9% 20.49 —

HT/FT

15.0% 6.65 —
5.9% 16.86 —
4.2% 23.58 —
6.2% 16.18 —
10.0% 10.02 —
16.3% 6.15 —
4.3% 23.36 —
36.8% 2.72 —

HT/FT double chance

37.1% 2.69 —
41.7% 2.4 —
36.4% 2.75 —
26.5% 3.77 —
57.4% 1.74 —
51.2% 1.95 —
21.7% 4.6 —
60.5% 1.65 —
67.3% 1.49 —

Total goals

87.2% 1.15 —
68.7% 1.46 —
47.3% 2.11 —
12.8% 7.81 —
31.3% 3.19 —
52.7% 1.9 —

1st-half goals

83.5% 1.2 —
53.9% 1.85 —

Home team goals

73.7% 1.36 —
38.8% 2.58 —

Away team goals

89.3% 1.12 —
64.8% 1.54 —

Both to score

65.8% 1.52 —

Corners

72.1% 1.39 —
61.2% 1.63 —
50.5% 1.98 —
40.4% 2.47 —
31.4% 3.18 —
38.8% 2.58 —
49.5% 2.02 —
59.6% 1.68 —
68.6% 1.46 —

Home corners

52.9% 1.89 —
36.2% 2.76 —
23.0% 4.34 —

Away corners

78.5% 1.27 —
65.3% 1.53 —
51.4% 1.95 —

Cards

81.7% 1.22 —
67.6% 1.48 —
52.1% 1.92 —
37.6% 2.66 —
32.4% 3.08 —
47.9% 2.09 —
62.4% 1.6 —

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