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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-29

Reading – Peterboro

Home 56% 1.8 fair
Draw 22% 4.65 fair
Away 23% 4.35 fair
Expected Goals3.17
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.561%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 55.4% → 55.5% +0.1 pp
Draw 21.2% → 21.5% +0.3 pp
Away 23.4% → 23.0% -0.5 pp
Over 2.5 63.3% → 61.4% -1.9 pp
Both teams to score 61.6% → 59.9% -1.7 pp
Expected Goals 3.27 → 3.17 -0.1
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.17
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.63 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.56 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

55.5% 1.8 —
21.5% 4.65 —
23.0% 4.35 —
77.0% 1.3 —
44.5% 2.25 —
78.5% 1.27 —

Half-time result

42.9% 2.33 —
39.7% 2.52 —
17.5% 5.72 —

Half-time double chance

82.5% 1.21 —
57.1% 1.75 —
60.3% 1.66 —

Both halves

18.7% 5.34 —

HT/FT

34.9% 2.86 —
5.7% 17.54 —
17.7% 5.64 —
11.9% 8.42 —
10.1% 9.92 —
3.9% 25.38 —
10.6% 9.4 —

HT/FT double chance

70.2% 1.42 —
65.0% 1.54 —
29.9% 3.34 —
47.4% 2.11 —
50.7% 1.97 —
22.5% 4.44 —
36.4% 2.75 —
41.3% 2.42 —
36.5% 2.74 —

Total goals

96.1% 1.04 —
82.4% 1.21 —
61.4% 1.63 —
38.8% 2.58 —
17.6% 5.68 —
38.6% 2.59 —
61.2% 1.63 —

1st-half goals

70.9% 1.41 —
35.4% 2.83 —

Home team goals

86.2% 1.16 —
58.6% 1.71 —

Away team goals

69.8% 1.43 —
33.6% 2.98 —

Both to score

59.9% 1.67 —

Corners

69.4% 1.44 —
58.6% 1.71 —
47.7% 2.1 —
37.4% 2.67 —
28.6% 3.5 —
41.4% 2.42 —
52.3% 1.91 —
62.6% 1.6 —
71.4% 1.4 —

Home corners

66.0% 1.52 —
50.1% 2.0 —
35.8% 2.79 —

Away corners

64.7% 1.55 —
49.1% 2.04 —
35.1% 2.85 —

Cards

65.7% 1.52 —
45.9% 2.18 —
29.3% 3.41 —
17.1% 5.84 —
54.1% 1.85 —
70.7% 1.41 —
82.9% 1.21 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds