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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-29

Wigan – Notts County

Home 30% 3.3 fair
Draw 33% 3.03 fair
Away 37% 2.72 fair
Expected Goals1.84
Most Likely Score0-0
Both teams to score36%
Over 2.528%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 35.1% → 30.3% -4.8 pp
Draw 32.1% → 33.0% +0.9 pp
Away 32.8% → 36.8% +4.0 pp
Over 2.5 28.0% → 27.8% -0.3 pp
Both teams to score 35.9% → 36.1% +0.2 pp
Expected Goals 1.84 → 1.84 0.0
Most Likely Score 0-0 → 0-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.84
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.72 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.78 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

30.3% 3.3 —
33.0% 3.03 —
36.8% 2.72 —
63.2% 1.58 —
69.7% 1.43 —
67.0% 1.49 —

Half-time result

21.1% 4.75 —
52.7% 1.9 —
26.3% 3.81 —

Half-time double chance

73.7% 1.36 —
78.9% 1.27 —
47.3% 2.11 —

Both halves

5.3% 19.01 —

HT/FT

15.7% 6.36 —
4.2% 24.1 —
13.3% 7.5 —
24.1% 4.14 —
15.2% 6.58 —
4.7% 21.32 —
20.3% 4.91 —

HT/FT double chance

57.3% 1.74 —
45.5% 2.2 —
44.7% 2.24 —
25.8% 3.88 —
38.5% 2.6 —
30.4% 3.29 —
43.4% 2.3 —
50.1% 2.0 —
64.4% 1.55 —

Total goals

84.0% 1.19 —
54.8% 1.83 —
27.8% 3.6 —
11.6% 8.64 —
45.2% 2.21 —
72.2% 1.38 —
88.4% 1.13 —

1st-half goals

54.5% 1.83 —
18.6% 5.38 —

Home team goals

57.6% 1.74 —
21.2% 4.71 —

Away team goals

62.5% 1.6 —
25.7% 3.9 —

Both to score

36.1% 2.77 —

Corners

70.1% 1.43 —
59.5% 1.68 —
48.7% 2.05 —
38.6% 2.59 —
29.7% 3.37 —
40.5% 2.47 —
51.3% 1.95 —
61.4% 1.63 —
70.3% 1.42 —

Home corners

71.1% 1.41 —
56.2% 1.78 —
42.0% 2.38 —

Away corners

60.5% 1.65 —
44.1% 2.27 —
30.5% 3.28 —

Cards

81.3% 1.23 —
66.4% 1.51 —
50.0% 2.0 —
34.9% 2.86 —
33.6% 2.98 —
50.0% 2.0 —
65.1% 1.54 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds