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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-29

Sheffield Weds – Mansfield

Home 54% 1.86 fair
Draw 24% 4.22 fair
Away 23% 4.44 fair
Expected Goals2.74
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.552%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 54.0% → 53.8% -0.2 pp
Draw 23.1% → 23.7% +0.6 pp
Away 22.9% → 22.5% -0.3 pp
Over 2.5 54.1% → 51.6% -2.4 pp
Both teams to score 54.1% → 52.1% -2.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.84 → 2.74 -0.1
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.74
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.2 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.89 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

53.8% 1.86 —
23.7% 4.22 —
22.5% 4.44 —
77.5% 1.29 —
46.2% 2.16 —
76.3% 1.31 —

Half-time result

45.5% 2.2 —
37.5% 2.66 —
16.9% 5.91 —

Half-time double chance

83.1% 1.2 —
54.5% 1.84 —
62.5% 1.6 —

Both halves

17.3% 5.77 —

HT/FT

37.8% 2.65 —
5.8% 17.3 —
14.2% 7.04 —
14.1% 7.09 —
9.2% 10.81 —
3.8% 26.04 —
11.3% 8.83 —

HT/FT double chance

71.9% 1.39 —
63.2% 1.58 —
31.1% 3.22 —
49.2% 2.03 —
52.8% 1.89 —
22.9% 4.37 —
33.9% 2.95 —
36.5% 2.74 —
38.5% 2.6 —

Total goals

93.5% 1.07 —
75.4% 1.33 —
51.6% 1.94 —
29.5% 3.39 —
24.6% 4.07 —
48.4% 2.07 —
70.5% 1.42 —

1st-half goals

73.5% 1.36 —
38.3% 2.61 —

Home team goals

81.8% 1.22 —
51.1% 1.96 —

Away team goals

63.8% 1.57 —
27.2% 3.68 —

Both to score

52.1% 1.92 —

Corners

74.2% 1.35 —
64.2% 1.56 —
53.8% 1.86 —
43.8% 2.29 —
34.1% 2.93 —
35.7% 2.8 —
46.2% 2.16 —
56.2% 1.78 —
65.9% 1.52 —

Home corners

72.8% 1.37 —
58.4% 1.71 —
44.1% 2.27 —

Away corners

64.9% 1.54 —
48.9% 2.05 —
35.1% 2.85 —

Cards

70.8% 1.41 —
52.3% 1.91 —
35.1% 2.85 —
21.6% 4.63 —
47.7% 2.1 —
64.9% 1.54 —
78.4% 1.28 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds