Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-29
Plymouth – Milton Keynes Dons
Home
56%
1.8 fair
Draw
21%
4.77 fair
Away
23%
4.28 fair
Expected Goals3.36
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.565%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
61.9%
→
55.7%
-6.2 pp
Draw
20.3%
→
21.0%
+0.7 pp
Away
17.9%
→
23.3%
+5.5 pp
Over 2.5
62.6%
→
64.8%
+2.2 pp
Both teams to score
58.1%
→
62.9%
+4.7 pp
Expected Goals
3.23 →
3.36
+0.13
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.77 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — |
Both halves
| 18.9% | 5.28 | — |
HT/FT
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.7 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.24 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.84 | — | |||
| 9.3% | 10.74 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.21 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.7 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.19 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.66 | — |
Total goals
| 96.4% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.6% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.48 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — |
Home team goals
| 87.2% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — |
Away team goals
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.73 | — |
Both to score
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — |
Corners
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.45 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — |
Home corners
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — |
Away corners
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — |
Cards
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.21 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds