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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-29

Barnsley – Burton

Home 48% 2.1 fair
Draw 24% 4.12 fair
Away 28% 3.57 fair
Expected Goals2.86
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.554%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 47.3% → 47.7% +0.4 pp
Draw 24.5% → 24.3% -0.2 pp
Away 28.3% → 28.0% -0.3 pp
Over 2.5 54.9% → 54.5% -0.4 pp
Both teams to score 57.6% → 56.3% -1.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.88 → 2.86 -0.02
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.86
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.5 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.81 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

47.7% 2.1 —
24.3% 4.12 —
28.0% 3.57 —
72.0% 1.39 —
52.3% 1.91 —
75.7% 1.32 —

Half-time result

38.4% 2.6 —
40.2% 2.49 —
21.4% 4.68 —

Half-time double chance

78.6% 1.27 —
61.6% 1.62 —
59.8% 1.67 —

Both halves

14.5% 6.92 —

HT/FT

30.3% 3.3 —
5.8% 17.12 —
15.0% 6.65 —
14.1% 7.08 —
11.1% 9.04 —
4.3% 23.09 —
14.7% 6.8 —

HT/FT double chance

65.3% 1.53 —
58.7% 1.71 —
33.3% 3.01 —
42.8% 2.33 —
49.6% 2.02 —
27.1% 3.69 —
35.9% 2.79 —
43.1% 2.32 —
44.2% 2.26 —

Total goals

94.1% 1.06 —
77.6% 1.29 —
54.5% 1.84 —
32.3% 3.1 —
22.4% 4.47 —
45.5% 2.2 —
67.7% 1.48 —

1st-half goals

71.3% 1.4 —
35.6% 2.81 —

Home team goals

80.4% 1.24 —
49.1% 2.04 —

Away team goals

70.1% 1.43 —
34.3% 2.92 —

Both to score

56.3% 1.78 —

Corners

76.4% 1.31 —
66.9% 1.49 —
56.7% 1.76 —
46.9% 2.13 —
37.3% 2.68 —
33.1% 3.02 —
43.3% 2.31 —
53.1% 1.88 —
62.7% 1.6 —

Home corners

75.0% 1.33 —
60.9% 1.64 —
46.4% 2.16 —

Away corners

66.3% 1.51 —
50.7% 1.97 —
36.5% 2.74 —

Cards

69.5% 1.44 —
50.9% 1.96 —
33.8% 2.96 —
20.4% 4.89 —
49.1% 2.04 —
66.2% 1.51 —
79.6% 1.26 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds