Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-29
AFC Wimbledon – Luton
Home
22%
4.57 fair
Draw
24%
4.22 fair
Away
54%
1.84 fair
Expected Goals2.83
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
23.0%
→
21.9%
-1.2 pp
Draw
23.1%
→
23.7%
+0.6 pp
Away
53.9%
→
54.4%
+0.5 pp
Over 2.5
55.2%
→
53.4%
-1.8 pp
Both teams to score
55.7%
→
53.9%
-1.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.9 →
2.83
-0.07
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 21.9% | 4.57 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — |
Both halves
| 4.2% | 24.1 | — |
HT/FT
| 15.1% | 6.61 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.1 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.9 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 17.09 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.22 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.64 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.78 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 41.1% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.87 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — |
Total goals
| 94.0% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.41 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — |
Home team goals
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.59 | — |
Away team goals
| 83.2% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — |
Both to score
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — |
Corners
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — |
Home corners
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — |
Away corners
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — |
Cards
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.44 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds