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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-29

Tottenham – Brighton

Home 30% 3.3 fair
Draw 24% 4.12 fair
Away 45% 2.2 fair
Expected Goals2.97
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.557%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 31.6% → 30.3% -1.2 pp
Draw 23.2% → 24.2% +1.0 pp
Away 45.2% → 45.4% +0.2 pp
Over 2.5 59.6% → 57.0% -2.6 pp
Both teams to score 61.3% → 59.1% -2.2 pp
Expected Goals 3.09 → 2.97 -0.12
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.97
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.73 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.62 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

30.3% 3.3 —
24.2% 4.12 —
45.4% 2.2 —
54.6% 1.83 —
69.7% 1.43 —
75.8% 1.32 —

Half-time result

29.4% 3.4 —
37.0% 2.7 —
33.6% 2.98 —

Half-time double chance

66.4% 1.51 —
70.5% 1.42 —
63.0% 1.59 —

Both halves

6.9% 14.43 —

HT/FT

20.1% 4.99 —
6.2% 16.1 —
3.2% 31.25 —
8.7% 11.45 —
13.6% 7.35 —
14.6% 6.84 —
4.4% 22.52 —
27.6% 3.62 —

HT/FT double chance

48.6% 2.06 —
46.6% 2.15 —
37.6% 2.66 —
32.2% 3.1 —
52.4% 1.91 —
41.4% 2.41 —
28.3% 3.53 —
52.5% 1.9 —
60.3% 1.66 —

Total goals

95.0% 1.05 —
79.4% 1.26 —
57.0% 1.75 —
34.5% 2.9 —
20.6% 4.86 —
43.0% 2.33 —
65.5% 1.53 —

1st-half goals

77.3% 1.29 —
43.4% 2.3 —

Home team goals

73.0% 1.37 —
37.9% 2.64 —

Away team goals

81.2% 1.23 —
49.2% 2.03 —

Both to score

59.1% 1.69 —

Corners

78.4% 1.28 —
69.0% 1.45 —
59.3% 1.69 —
49.1% 2.04 —
39.7% 2.52 —
31.0% 3.22 —
40.7% 2.46 —
50.9% 1.96 —
60.3% 1.66 —

Home corners

78.8% 1.27 —
65.8% 1.52 —
52.3% 1.91 —

Away corners

64.6% 1.55 —
48.4% 2.07 —
33.6% 2.98 —

Cards

78.4% 1.27 —
62.6% 1.6 —
46.9% 2.13 —
32.6% 3.07 —
37.4% 2.67 —
53.1% 1.88 —
67.4% 1.48 —

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