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Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-29

Southampton – West Ham

Home 49% 2.04 fair
Draw 20% 5.13 fair
Away 31% 3.18 fair
Expected Goals4.33
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score78%
Over 2.580%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 36.4% → 49.1% +12.7 pp
Draw 20.5% → 19.5% -1.0 pp
Away 43.2% → 31.4% -11.8 pp
Over 2.5 77.1% → 80.3% +3.2 pp
Both teams to score 75.4% → 77.9% +2.5 pp
Expected Goals 4.08 → 4.33 +0.25
Most Likely Score 1-2 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 4.33
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.15 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.3 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

49.1% 2.04 —
19.5% 5.13 —
31.4% 3.18 —
68.6% 1.46 —
50.9% 1.96 —
80.5% 1.24 —

Half-time result

59.9% 1.67 —
25.5% 3.92 —
14.6% 6.84 —

Half-time double chance

85.4% 1.17 —
40.2% 2.49 —
74.5% 1.34 —

Both halves

14.3% 7.0 —

HT/FT

41.6% 2.4 —
10.3% 9.69 —
7.9% 12.69 —
6.5% 15.41 —
7.2% 13.83 —
11.8% 8.47 —
11.7% 8.52 —

HT/FT double chance

65.7% 1.52 —
67.8% 1.47 —
37.2% 2.68 —
54.8% 1.82 —
62.2% 1.61 —
31.9% 3.14 —
16.6% 6.02 —
31.0% 3.23 —
32.7% 3.06 —

Total goals

92.7% 1.08 —
80.3% 1.25 —
62.8% 1.59 —
7.3% 13.64 —
19.7% 5.07 —
37.2% 2.69 —

1st-half goals

88.1% 1.14 —
62.8% 1.59 —

Home team goals

90.9% 1.1 —
69.0% 1.45 —

Away team goals

85.6% 1.17 —
57.6% 1.74 —

Both to score

77.9% 1.28 —

Corners

81.7% 1.22 —
72.8% 1.37 —
63.3% 1.58 —
53.2% 1.88 —
43.2% 2.31 —
27.2% 3.68 —
36.7% 2.73 —
46.8% 2.13 —
56.8% 1.76 —

Home corners

79.7% 1.26 —
67.2% 1.49 —
52.9% 1.89 —

Away corners

70.3% 1.42 —
54.5% 1.83 —
39.6% 2.53 —

Cards

76.2% 1.31 —
59.0% 1.7 —
41.9% 2.38 —
27.8% 3.6 —
41.0% 2.44 —
58.1% 1.72 —
72.2% 1.39 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds