Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-29
Birmingham – Cardiff
Home
56%
1.79 fair
Draw
23%
4.41 fair
Away
21%
4.66 fair
Expected Goals2.93
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
51.8%
→
55.9%
+4.0 pp
Draw
24.5%
→
22.7%
-1.9 pp
Away
23.6%
→
21.5%
-2.2 pp
Over 2.5
49.9%
→
56.2%
+6.3 pp
Both teams to score
51.2%
→
55.2%
+4.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.67 →
2.93
+0.26
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.41 | — | |||
| 21.5% | 4.66 | — | |||
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — |
Both halves
| 19.2% | 5.21 | — |
HT/FT
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 26.88 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.77 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.51 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.86 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.76 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.75 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — |
Total goals
| 94.5% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.68 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — |
1st-half goals
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — |
Home team goals
| 84.3% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — |
Away team goals
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — |
Both to score
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — |
Corners
| 72.7% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — |
Home corners
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — |
Away corners
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.74 | — |
Cards
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds