Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-29
Middlesbrough – Bolton
Home
69%
1.45 fair
Draw
18%
5.7 fair
Away
14%
7.3 fair
Expected Goals3.49
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.567%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
65.8%
→
68.8%
+2.9 pp
Draw
18.1%
→
17.5%
-0.6 pp
Away
16.0%
→
13.7%
-2.3 pp
Over 2.5
67.1%
→
67.5%
+0.4 pp
Both teams to score
60.3%
→
58.8%
-1.5 pp
Expected Goals
3.46 →
3.49
+0.03
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 17.5% | 5.7 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.3 | — | |||
| 86.3% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — |
Half-time result
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 21.5% | 4.65 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — |
Both halves
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — |
HT/FT
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.49 | — | |||
| 9.1% | 11.03 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.4 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.1 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.24 | — | |||
| 9.5% | 10.52 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.28 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.4 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — |
Total goals
| 96.9% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 86.5% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 13.5% | 7.41 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — |
Home team goals
| 91.5% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — |
Both to score
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — |
Corners
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.74 | — |
Home corners
| 85.8% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — |
Away corners
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.8 | — |
Cards
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.58 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 84.8% | 1.18 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds