Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-29
Derby – Sheffield United
Home
34%
2.96 fair
Draw
26%
3.79 fair
Away
40%
2.51 fair
Expected Goals2.64
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.549%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
35.0%
→
33.8%
-1.2 pp
Draw
26.9%
→
26.4%
-0.5 pp
Away
38.1%
→
39.8%
+1.7 pp
Over 2.5
46.8%
→
49.1%
+2.4 pp
Both teams to score
52.0%
→
53.5%
+1.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.55 →
2.64
+0.09
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 24.8% | 4.04 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
Both halves
| 7.8% | 12.8 | — |
HT/FT
| 18.8% | 5.32 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.7 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.82 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.2 | — | |||
| 12.4% | 8.05 | — | |||
| 6.0% | 16.61 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.9 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — |
Total goals
| 92.6% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — |
Home team goals
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.9% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — |
Both to score
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — |
Corners
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — |
Home corners
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — |
Away corners
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — |
Cards
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds