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Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-29

Bristol City – Stoke

Home 41% 2.45 fair
Draw 28% 3.6 fair
Away 31% 3.19 fair
Expected Goals2.33
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.541%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 43.6% → 40.9% -2.8 pp
Draw 27.9% → 27.8% -0.1 pp
Away 28.5% → 31.3% +2.8 pp
Over 2.5 39.5% → 41.3% +1.8 pp
Both teams to score 44.9% → 47.0% +2.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.27 → 2.33 +0.06
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.33
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.29 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.88 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

40.9% 2.45 —
27.8% 3.6 —
31.3% 3.19 —
68.7% 1.46 —
59.1% 1.69 —
72.2% 1.39 —

Half-time result

27.0% 3.71 —
47.4% 2.11 —
25.6% 3.9 —

Half-time double chance

74.4% 1.34 —
73.0% 1.37 —
52.6% 1.9 —

Both halves

9.9% 10.06 —

HT/FT

21.2% 4.72 —
4.3% 23.42 —
17.2% 5.82 —
18.1% 5.53 —
12.1% 8.26 —
5.5% 18.32 —
17.7% 5.66 —

HT/FT double chance

60.7% 1.65 —
52.0% 1.92 —
36.0% 2.78 —
33.4% 2.99 —
42.9% 2.33 —
28.9% 3.46 —
43.2% 2.31 —
49.5% 2.02 —
53.3% 1.88 —

Total goals

90.2% 1.11 —
67.8% 1.48 —
41.3% 2.42 —
20.8% 4.81 —
32.2% 3.1 —
58.7% 1.7 —
79.2% 1.26 —

1st-half goals

61.6% 1.62 —
24.6% 4.06 —

Home team goals

71.7% 1.39 —
36.4% 2.75 —

Away team goals

65.5% 1.53 —
28.7% 3.49 —

Both to score

47.0% 2.13 —

Corners

75.8% 1.32 —
65.7% 1.52 —
55.2% 1.81 —
44.7% 2.24 —
35.0% 2.86 —
34.3% 2.92 —
44.8% 2.23 —
55.3% 1.81 —
65.0% 1.54 —

Home corners

76.1% 1.31 —
61.6% 1.62 —
47.4% 2.11 —

Away corners

64.2% 1.56 —
47.9% 2.09 —
32.9% 3.04 —

Cards

70.5% 1.42 —
52.1% 1.92 —
34.8% 2.87 —
21.8% 4.59 —
47.9% 2.09 —
65.2% 1.53 —
78.2% 1.28 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds