Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-28
Carlisle – Hartlepool
Home
64%
1.57 fair
Draw
20%
4.99 fair
Away
16%
6.12 fair
Expected Goals3.07
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.559%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
62.3%
→
63.6%
+1.3 pp
Draw
21.2%
→
20.0%
-1.1 pp
Away
16.5%
→
16.3%
-0.2 pp
Over 2.5
56.0%
→
59.3%
+3.3 pp
Both teams to score
51.9%
→
54.3%
+2.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.92 →
3.07
+0.15
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 4.99 | — | |||
| 16.3% | 6.12 | — | |||
| 83.7% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — |
Half-time result
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.6 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 86.9% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — |
Both halves
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — |
HT/FT
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 21.01 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.82 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.46 | — | |||
| 7.5% | 13.33 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.82 | — | |||
| 7.1% | 14.16 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.87 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.86 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.35 | — |
Total goals
| 95.3% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.1% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.29 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — |
Home team goals
| 88.1% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — |
Away team goals
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.98 | — |
Both to score
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — |
Corners
| 79.7% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — |
Home corners
| 85.4% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — |
Away corners
| 57.3% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.14 | — |
Cards
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.49 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds