Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-26
Gateshead – Carlisle
Home
20%
5.08 fair
Draw
20%
4.9 fair
Away
60%
1.67 fair
Expected Goals3.27
Most Likely Score1-2
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.563%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
21.3%
→
19.7%
-1.7 pp
Draw
21.0%
→
20.4%
-0.6 pp
Away
57.7%
→
59.9%
+2.2 pp
Over 2.5
63.3%
→
63.4%
+0.0 pp
Both teams to score
61.0%
→
60.2%
-0.7 pp
Expected Goals
3.26 →
3.27
+0.01
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 19.7% | 5.08 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.9 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — |
Half-time result
| 18.4% | 5.43 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 81.6% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — |
Both halves
| 3.8% | 26.25 | — |
HT/FT
| 11.1% | 9.03 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.15 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 33.0 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.43 | — | |||
| 11.2% | 8.91 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.94 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.53 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.56 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — |
Total goals
| 96.0% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.0% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.23 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
1st-half goals
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — |
Home team goals
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — |
Away team goals
| 88.0% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — |
Both to score
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — |
Corners
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — |
Home corners
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — |
Away corners
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — |
Cards
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.36 | — | |||
| 17.3% | 5.79 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 70.2% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 82.7% | 1.21 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds