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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-26

Mansfield – Barnsley

Home 50% 2.01 fair
Draw 23% 4.37 fair
Away 27% 3.67 fair
Expected Goals3.08
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.560%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 51.5% → 49.9% -1.6 pp
Draw 22.2% → 22.9% +0.7 pp
Away 26.3% → 27.2% +0.9 pp
Over 2.5 61.1% → 59.7% -1.5 pp
Both teams to score 61.5% → 60.0% -1.4 pp
Expected Goals 3.16 → 3.08 -0.08
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.08
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.29 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.97 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

49.9% 2.01 —
22.9% 4.37 —
27.2% 3.67 —
72.8% 1.37 —
50.1% 1.99 —
77.1% 1.3 —

Half-time result

33.9% 2.95 —
39.4% 2.54 —
26.8% 3.74 —

Half-time double chance

73.3% 1.37 —
66.1% 1.51 —
60.6% 1.65 —

Both halves

15.3% 6.52 —

HT/FT

28.2% 3.54 —
4.1% 24.51 —
17.6% 5.69 —
12.8% 7.82 —
9.0% 11.09 —
4.1% 24.63 —
6.0% 16.56 —
16.7% 6.01 —

HT/FT double chance

62.7% 1.6 —
56.4% 1.77 —
27.5% 3.64 —
42.4% 2.36 —
50.5% 1.98 —
28.3% 3.53 —
40.5% 2.47 —
47.3% 2.11 —
44.5% 2.25 —

Total goals

95.3% 1.05 —
80.9% 1.24 —
59.7% 1.68 —
37.5% 2.67 —
19.1% 5.24 —
40.4% 2.48 —
62.5% 1.6 —

1st-half goals

73.7% 1.36 —
39.1% 2.56 —

Home team goals

83.4% 1.2 —
54.0% 1.85 —

Away team goals

72.0% 1.39 —
36.5% 2.74 —

Both to score

60.0% 1.67 —

Corners

74.5% 1.34 —
65.0% 1.54 —
54.2% 1.84 —
44.3% 2.26 —
35.0% 2.86 —
35.0% 2.85 —
45.8% 2.19 —
55.7% 1.8 —
65.0% 1.54 —

Home corners

74.4% 1.34 —
60.2% 1.66 —
45.9% 2.18 —

Away corners

63.8% 1.57 —
48.1% 2.08 —
33.8% 2.96 —

Cards

72.0% 1.39 —
53.7% 1.86 —
36.1% 2.77 —
22.7% 4.4 —
46.3% 2.16 —
63.9% 1.56 —
77.3% 1.29 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds