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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-26

Luton – Bromley

Home 84% 1.2 fair
Draw 11% 9.43 fair
Away 6% 17.33 fair
Expected Goals4.27
Most Likely Score3-0
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.579%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 81.6% → 83.6% +2.0 pp
Draw 11.7% → 10.6% -1.1 pp
Away 6.7% → 5.8% -1.0 pp
Over 2.5 73.3% → 79.4% +6.1 pp
Both teams to score 52.1% → 57.1% +5.0 pp
Expected Goals 3.83 → 4.27 +0.44
Most Likely Score 3-0 → 3-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 4.27
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.75 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.96 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

83.6% 1.2 —
10.6% 9.43 —
5.8% 17.33 —
94.2% 1.06 —
16.4% 6.11 —
89.4% 1.12 —

Half-time result

68.6% 1.46 —
21.2% 4.71 —
10.2% 9.78 —

Half-time double chance

89.8% 1.11 —
31.4% 3.18 —
78.8% 1.27 —

Both halves

45.9% 2.18 —

HT/FT

66.0% 1.51 —
14.3% 6.99 —
5.4% 18.55 —
3.3% 30.49 —
3.0% 32.79 —
3.9% 25.71 —

HT/FT double chance

87.9% 1.14 —
82.2% 1.22 —
9.4% 10.59 —
74.5% 1.34 —
73.6% 1.36 —
9.5% 10.56 —
26.0% 3.84 —
23.0% 4.35 —
13.9% 7.22 —

Total goals

92.2% 1.08 —
79.4% 1.26 —
61.7% 1.62 —
7.8% 12.87 —
20.6% 4.85 —
38.3% 2.61 —

1st-half goals

90.7% 1.1 —
69.5% 1.44 —

Home team goals

96.5% 1.04 —
84.5% 1.18 —

Away team goals

59.0% 1.69 —
22.3% 4.48 —

Both to score

57.1% 1.75 —

Corners

77.7% 1.29 —
68.7% 1.46 —
59.0% 1.69 —
49.1% 2.04 —
39.5% 2.53 —
31.3% 3.19 —
41.0% 2.44 —
50.9% 1.96 —
60.6% 1.65 —

Home corners

85.7% 1.17 —
75.3% 1.33 —
63.4% 1.58 —

Away corners

48.9% 2.05 —
32.7% 3.06 —
20.2% 4.95 —

Cards

71.5% 1.4 —
53.1% 1.88 —
36.3% 2.76 —
22.8% 4.39 —
46.9% 2.13 —
63.7% 1.57 —
77.2% 1.3 —

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