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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-26

Leicester – AFC Wimbledon

Home 63% 1.58 fair
Draw 20% 5.07 fair
Away 17% 5.94 fair
Expected Goals3.08
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.559%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 57.1% → 63.4% +6.3 pp
Draw 22.2% → 19.7% -2.5 pp
Away 20.6% → 16.8% -3.8 pp
Over 2.5 55.5% → 59.2% +3.7 pp
Both teams to score 54.4% → 54.6% +0.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.9 → 3.08 +0.18
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.08
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.2 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.51 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

63.4% 1.58 —
19.7% 5.07 —
16.8% 5.94 —
83.2% 1.2 —
36.5% 2.74 —
80.3% 1.25 —

Half-time result

47.7% 2.09 —
34.2% 2.92 —
18.0% 5.54 —

Half-time double chance

82.0% 1.22 —
52.3% 1.91 —
65.8% 1.52 —

Both halves

24.1% 4.16 —

HT/FT

43.1% 2.32 —
3.7% 26.88 —
17.1% 5.83 —
11.5% 8.7 —
5.6% 17.89 —
3.2% 30.96 —
4.5% 22.22 —
10.3% 9.7 —

HT/FT double chance

75.4% 1.33 —
66.7% 1.5 —
21.7% 4.6 —
54.5% 1.83 —
57.6% 1.74 —
19.5% 5.14 —
36.4% 2.75 —
36.3% 2.76 —
31.9% 3.14 —

Total goals

95.5% 1.05 —
80.9% 1.24 —
59.2% 1.69 —
37.0% 2.7 —
19.1% 5.24 —
40.8% 2.45 —
63.0% 1.59 —

1st-half goals

79.0% 1.27 —
47.3% 2.11 —

Home team goals

87.7% 1.14 —
61.8% 1.62 —

Away team goals

62.4% 1.6 —
25.5% 3.92 —

Both to score

54.6% 1.83 —

Corners

80.7% 1.24 —
72.2% 1.38 —
63.0% 1.59 —
53.4% 1.87 —
43.8% 2.28 —
27.8% 3.6 —
37.0% 2.7 —
46.6% 2.15 —
56.2% 1.78 —

Home corners

80.8% 1.24 —
68.8% 1.45 —
55.3% 1.81 —

Away corners

66.6% 1.5 —
50.5% 1.98 —
36.8% 2.72 —

Cards

64.8% 1.54 —
45.1% 2.21 —
28.4% 3.52 —
16.4% 6.08 —
54.9% 1.82 —
71.6% 1.4 —
83.6% 1.2 —

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