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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-26

Burton – Sheffield Weds

Home 24% 4.18 fair
Draw 26% 3.85 fair
Away 50% 2.0 fair
Expected Goals2.53
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 23.0% → 23.9% +1.0 pp
Draw 24.3% → 26.0% +1.7 pp
Away 52.8% → 50.1% -2.7 pp
Over 2.5 50.1% → 46.5% -3.6 pp
Both teams to score 51.9% → 50.0% -2.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.68 → 2.53 -0.15
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.53
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.38 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.85 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

23.9% 4.18 —
26.0% 3.85 —
50.1% 2.0 —
50.0% 2.0 —
76.0% 1.31 —
74.0% 1.35 —

Half-time result

18.6% 5.38 —
41.1% 2.43 —
40.3% 2.48 —

Half-time double chance

59.7% 1.68 —
81.4% 1.23 —
58.9% 1.7 —

Both halves

4.5% 22.12 —

HT/FT

12.7% 7.89 —
4.1% 24.21 —
9.6% 10.38 —
16.2% 6.17 —
15.3% 6.54 —
5.7% 17.67 —
33.0% 3.03 —

HT/FT double chance

42.6% 2.35 —
39.4% 2.54 —
37.4% 2.67 —
24.1% 4.15 —
49.1% 2.04 —
44.6% 2.24 —
33.1% 3.02 —
59.5% 1.68 —
70.1% 1.43 —

Total goals

92.1% 1.09 —
72.2% 1.38 —
46.5% 2.15 —
24.8% 4.03 —
27.8% 3.6 —
53.5% 1.87 —
75.2% 1.33 —

1st-half goals

69.7% 1.44 —
33.3% 3.0 —

Home team goals

63.0% 1.59 —
26.1% 3.83 —

Away team goals

79.1% 1.26 —
45.6% 2.19 —

Both to score

50.0% 2.0 —

Corners

75.2% 1.33 —
65.8% 1.52 —
55.5% 1.8 —
45.2% 2.21 —
36.2% 2.76 —
34.2% 2.93 —
44.5% 2.25 —
54.8% 1.82 —
63.8% 1.57 —

Home corners

69.4% 1.44 —
54.7% 1.83 —
40.7% 2.46 —

Away corners

70.5% 1.42 —
55.7% 1.8 —
41.6% 2.41 —

Cards

70.5% 1.42 —
51.5% 1.94 —
34.2% 2.92 —
21.2% 4.73 —
48.5% 2.06 —
65.8% 1.52 —
78.8% 1.27 —

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