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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-26

Tottenham – Bournemouth

Home 38% 2.64 fair
Draw 24% 4.12 fair
Away 38% 2.64 fair
Expected Goals2.93
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.556%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 38.1% → 37.9% -0.2 pp
Draw 24.6% → 24.3% -0.4 pp
Away 37.3% → 37.8% +0.6 pp
Over 2.5 57.2% → 56.2% -0.9 pp
Both teams to score 60.1% → 58.8% -1.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.99 → 2.93 -0.06
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.93
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.37 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.81 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

37.9% 2.64 —
24.3% 4.12 —
37.8% 2.64 —
62.2% 1.61 —
62.1% 1.61 —
75.7% 1.32 —

Half-time result

27.6% 3.62 —
40.4% 2.48 —
32.0% 3.12 —

Half-time double chance

68.0% 1.47 —
72.4% 1.38 —
59.6% 1.68 —

Both halves

9.8% 10.24 —

HT/FT

20.6% 4.85 —
4.8% 20.88 —
14.3% 6.97 —
13.6% 7.34 —
12.4% 8.06 —
5.8% 17.12 —
23.2% 4.31 —

HT/FT double chance

53.4% 1.87 —
49.6% 2.02 —
33.1% 3.03 —
34.2% 2.92 —
49.0% 2.04 —
36.1% 2.77 —
36.8% 2.72 —
52.9% 1.89 —
55.1% 1.82 —

Total goals

94.8% 1.05 —
79.1% 1.26 —
56.2% 1.78 —
33.6% 2.98 —
20.9% 4.78 —
43.8% 2.28 —
66.4% 1.51 —

1st-half goals

72.2% 1.39 —
35.9% 2.78 —

Home team goals

76.8% 1.3 —
43.2% 2.31 —

Away team goals

76.8% 1.3 —
43.2% 2.31 —

Both to score

58.8% 1.7 —

Corners

82.3% 1.21 —
74.1% 1.35 —
64.8% 1.54 —
54.8% 1.82 —
45.2% 2.21 —
25.9% 3.86 —
35.1% 2.84 —
45.2% 2.21 —
54.8% 1.83 —

Home corners

81.5% 1.23 —
69.8% 1.43 —
56.7% 1.76 —

Away corners

68.8% 1.45 —
53.2% 1.88 —
38.4% 2.6 —

Cards

80.4% 1.24 —
65.5% 1.53 —
49.8% 2.01 —
35.4% 2.83 —
34.5% 2.89 —
50.2% 1.99 —
64.6% 1.55 —

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