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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-26

Ipswich – Brentford

Home 24% 4.25 fair
Draw 21% 4.77 fair
Away 56% 1.8 fair
Expected Goals3.38
Most Likely Score1-2
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.565%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 22.6% → 23.5% +0.9 pp
Draw 20.4% → 21.0% +0.6 pp
Away 57.0% → 55.5% -1.5 pp
Over 2.5 64.9% → 65.0% +0.1 pp
Both teams to score 62.3% → 63.1% +0.9 pp
Expected Goals 3.35 → 3.38 +0.03
Most Likely Score 1-2 → 1-2
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.38
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.64 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.09 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

23.5% 4.25 —
21.0% 4.77 —
55.5% 1.8 —
44.5% 2.25 —
76.5% 1.31 —
79.0% 1.27 —

Half-time result

25.6% 3.91 —
34.1% 2.94 —
40.4% 2.48 —

Half-time double chance

59.6% 1.68 —
74.5% 1.34 —
65.9% 1.52 —

Both halves

5.1% 19.69 —

HT/FT

15.7% 6.39 —
5.9% 17.06 —
4.0% 24.75 —
6.6% 15.08 —
11.1% 8.98 —
16.3% 6.13 —
4.0% 25.25 —
35.2% 2.84 —

HT/FT double chance

39.3% 2.55 —
42.6% 2.35 —
37.3% 2.68 —
26.7% 3.74 —
56.1% 1.78 —
49.0% 2.04 —
23.0% 4.35 —
59.4% 1.68 —
66.6% 1.5 —

Total goals

96.5% 1.04 —
84.8% 1.18 —
65.0% 1.54 —
43.2% 2.31 —
15.2% 6.56 —
35.0% 2.86 —
56.8% 1.76 —

1st-half goals

81.4% 1.23 —
51.0% 1.96 —

Home team goals

72.4% 1.38 —
37.6% 2.66 —

Away team goals

87.3% 1.15 —
61.1% 1.64 —

Both to score

63.1% 1.58 —

Corners

70.1% 1.43 —
59.1% 1.69 —
48.4% 2.07 —
37.9% 2.64 —
28.4% 3.52 —
40.9% 2.44 —
51.6% 1.94 —
62.1% 1.61 —
71.6% 1.4 —

Home corners

65.1% 1.54 —
49.1% 2.04 —
34.8% 2.87 —

Away corners

66.9% 1.49 —
51.1% 1.96 —
36.3% 2.75 —

Cards

72.4% 1.38 —
54.9% 1.82 —
38.2% 2.62 —
24.7% 4.04 —
45.1% 2.22 —
61.8% 1.62 —
75.3% 1.33 —

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