Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-26
Preston – Derby
Home
38%
2.65 fair
Draw
27%
3.71 fair
Away
35%
2.83 fair
Expected Goals2.56
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.547%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
34.7%
→
37.8%
+3.0 pp
Draw
27.2%
→
26.9%
-0.3 pp
Away
38.1%
→
35.3%
-2.7 pp
Over 2.5
45.2%
→
47.0%
+1.8 pp
Both teams to score
50.5%
→
52.1%
+1.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.49 →
2.56
+0.07
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — |
Half-time result
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — |
Both halves
| 9.2% | 10.92 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.53 | — | |||
| 11.6% | 8.66 | — | |||
| 16.3% | 6.14 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.24 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.81 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.3 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — |
Total goals
| 92.2% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — |
Home team goals
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — |
Away team goals
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — |
Both to score
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — |
Corners
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — |
Home corners
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — |
Away corners
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.66 | — |
Cards
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 19.2% | 5.19 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds