Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-26
Portsmouth – Watford
Home
46%
2.2 fair
Draw
27%
3.76 fair
Away
28%
3.59 fair
Expected Goals2.41
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.543%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
45.1%
→
45.5%
+0.5 pp
Draw
26.5%
→
26.6%
+0.1 pp
Away
28.4%
→
27.8%
-0.6 pp
Over 2.5
44.4%
→
43.1%
-1.3 pp
Both teams to score
49.1%
→
47.9%
-1.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.46 →
2.41
-0.05
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 18.7% | 5.34 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — |
Both halves
| 12.5% | 8.03 | — |
HT/FT
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.47 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.81 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.9 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.35 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.78 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.27 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — |
Total goals
| 91.2% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.51 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 77.8% | 1.28 | — |
1st-half goals
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — |
Home team goals
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — |
Both to score
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — |
Corners
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — |
Home corners
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — |
Away corners
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — |
Cards
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds