Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-26
Bolton – Burnley
Home
27%
3.77 fair
Draw
23%
4.32 fair
Away
50%
1.99 fair
Expected Goals3.05
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.559%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
26.0%
→
26.5%
+0.6 pp
Draw
23.5%
→
23.1%
-0.3 pp
Away
50.6%
→
50.4%
-0.2 pp
Over 2.5
56.9%
→
58.6%
+1.8 pp
Both teams to score
57.7%
→
59.0%
+1.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.96 →
3.05
+0.09
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 27.6% | 3.62 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.55 | — |
Both halves
| 5.8% | 17.39 | — |
HT/FT
| 17.7% | 5.64 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.75 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.33 | — | |||
| 7.6% | 13.12 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.84 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.53 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 24.81 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — |
Total goals
| 95.4% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.0% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.27 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — |
Home team goals
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — |
Away team goals
| 83.4% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — |
Both to score
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — |
Corners
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.47 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — |
Home corners
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — |
Away corners
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — |
Cards
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.47 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 81.7% | 1.22 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds