Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-24
Carlisle – Tamworth
Home
65%
1.53 fair
Draw
18%
5.48 fair
Away
17%
6.06 fair
Expected Goals3.56
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.569%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
64.9%
→
65.2%
+0.3 pp
Draw
18.6%
→
18.2%
-0.4 pp
Away
16.5%
→
16.5%
0.0 pp
Over 2.5
68.5%
→
69.0%
+0.6 pp
Both teams to score
62.2%
→
61.7%
-0.5 pp
Expected Goals
3.54 →
3.56
+0.02
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.48 | — | |||
| 16.5% | 6.06 | — | |||
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — |
Half-time result
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.8 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 87.2% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — |
Both halves
| 26.5% | 3.78 | — |
HT/FT
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.48 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.89 | — | |||
| 9.3% | 10.73 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.58 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.15 | — | |||
| 7.5% | 13.37 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.16 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.39 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.72 | — |
Total goals
| 87.3% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.84 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — |
1st-half goals
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — |
Home team goals
| 91.0% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — |
Away team goals
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — |
Both to score
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — |
Corners
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — |
Home corners
| 83.6% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — |
Away corners
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — |
Cards
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds