Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-24
Wolves – Derby
Home
63%
1.59 fair
Draw
20%
4.89 fair
Away
17%
5.93 fair
Expected Goals2.93
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
19 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
67.1%
→
62.7%
-4.4 pp
Draw
17.8%
→
20.4%
+2.7 pp
Away
15.1%
→
16.9%
+1.7 pp
Over 2.5
69.3%
→
56.0%
-13.3 pp
Both teams to score
61.3%
→
51.5%
-9.8 pp
Expected Goals
3.58 →
2.93
-0.65
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.89 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.93 | — | |||
| 83.1% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — |
Half-time result
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.49 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — |
Both halves
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — |
HT/FT
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.25 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.47 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.2 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.89 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.58 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.32 | — | |||
| 10.2% | 9.76 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.47 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.13 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — |
Total goals
| 94.6% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.71 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — |
Home team goals
| 86.2% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — |
Away team goals
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — |
Both to score
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — |
Corners
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — |
Home corners
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — |
Away corners
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.0 | — |
Cards
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds