Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-24
Middlesbrough – Swansea
Home
53%
1.87 fair
Draw
24%
4.22 fair
Away
23%
4.37 fair
Expected Goals2.76
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
50.3%
→
53.5%
+3.2 pp
Draw
24.7%
→
23.7%
-1.0 pp
Away
25.0%
→
22.9%
-2.2 pp
Over 2.5
52.2%
→
52.5%
+0.4 pp
Both teams to score
53.7%
→
53.1%
-0.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.76 →
2.76
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.37 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.85 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — |
Both halves
| 17.1% | 5.84 | — |
HT/FT
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.39 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.67 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 7.01 | — | |||
| 9.6% | 10.4 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.32 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.86 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.42 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.57 | — |
Total goals
| 93.6% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.16 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.1% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.94 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.53 | — |
Both to score
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — |
Corners
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — |
Home corners
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — |
Away corners
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.83 | — |
Cards
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.91 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 83.1% | 1.2 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds