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Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-24

Bristol City – Wrexham

Home 39% 2.59 fair
Draw 26% 3.83 fair
Away 35% 2.84 fair
Expected Goals2.66
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.550%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 42.1% → 38.6% -3.5 pp
Draw 25.1% → 26.1% +1.0 pp
Away 32.8% → 35.2% +2.5 pp
Over 2.5 52.1% → 49.6% -2.6 pp
Both teams to score 55.9% → 54.1% -1.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.77 → 2.66 -0.11
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.66
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.75 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.38 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

38.6% 2.59 —
26.1% 3.83 —
35.2% 2.84 —
64.8% 1.54 —
61.4% 1.63 —
73.9% 1.35 —

Half-time result

32.9% 3.04 —
42.6% 2.35 —
24.4% 4.09 —

Half-time double chance

75.5% 1.32 —
67.1% 1.49 —
57.4% 1.74 —

Both halves

9.7% 10.27 —

HT/FT

24.2% 4.13 —
6.0% 16.53 —
12.6% 7.92 —
15.8% 6.32 —
14.2% 7.05 —
4.2% 23.53 —
18.4% 5.43 —

HT/FT double chance

58.7% 1.7 —
53.7% 1.86 —
38.7% 2.58 —
36.3% 2.75 —
47.1% 2.12 —
31.4% 3.19 —
34.5% 2.9 —
47.0% 2.13 —
52.6% 1.9 —

Total goals

93.1% 1.07 —
74.8% 1.34 —
49.6% 2.02 —
27.6% 3.62 —
25.2% 3.96 —
50.4% 1.98 —
72.4% 1.38 —

1st-half goals

68.6% 1.46 —
32.0% 3.12 —

Home team goals

74.5% 1.34 —
39.9% 2.51 —

Away team goals

72.7% 1.38 —
37.1% 2.7 —

Both to score

54.1% 1.85 —

Corners

71.2% 1.4 —
60.5% 1.65 —
49.4% 2.02 —
38.8% 2.58 —
29.3% 3.41 —
39.5% 2.53 —
50.6% 1.98 —
61.2% 1.63 —
70.7% 1.42 —

Home corners

75.5% 1.32 —
61.4% 1.63 —
47.0% 2.13 —

Away corners

56.6% 1.77 —
39.8% 2.51 —
25.7% 3.9 —

Cards

62.4% 1.6 —
42.5% 2.35 —
26.4% 3.79 —
14.8% 6.75 —
57.5% 1.74 —
73.6% 1.36 —
85.2% 1.17 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds