Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-27 19:45
Luton – Doncaster
Home
56%
1.8 fair
Draw
24%
4.24 fair
Away
21%
4.8 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Luton – Doncaster
FINAL
Actual Result
3–1
Luton – Doncaster
Expected Goals2.84
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.554%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
2 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
57.6%
→
55.6%
-2.0 pp
Draw
22.3%
→
23.6%
+1.2 pp
Away
20.0%
→
20.8%
+0.8 pp
Over 2.5
54.9%
→
53.9%
-1.0 pp
Both teams to score
53.4%
→
53.8%
+0.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.87 →
2.84
-0.03
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.8 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.12 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
Both halves
| 17.8% | 5.61 | — |
HT/FT
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.49 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.81 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.17 | — | |||
| 6.6% | 15.08 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.27 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.75 | — | |||
| 13.4% | 7.45 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.19 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — |
Total goals
| 94.0% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.49 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.8% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.67 | — |
Both to score
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — |
Corners
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — |
Home corners
| 82.4% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.71 | — |
Away corners
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 21.5% | 4.66 | — |
Cards
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds