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Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-20

Carlisle – Aldershot

Home 68% 1.48 fair
Draw 17% 5.74 fair
Away 15% 6.71 fair
Expected Goals3.54
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.569%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 65.0% → 67.7% +2.7 pp
Draw 18.2% → 17.4% -0.8 pp
Away 16.8% → 14.9% -1.9 pp
Over 2.5 69.7% → 68.6% -1.0 pp
Both teams to score 62.9% → 60.7% -2.3 pp
Expected Goals 3.61 → 3.54 -0.07
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.54
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.79 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.39 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

67.7% 1.48 —
17.4% 5.74 —
14.9% 6.71 —
85.1% 1.18 —
32.3% 3.09 —
82.6% 1.21 —

Half-time result

58.1% 1.72 —
29.7% 3.36 —
12.2% 8.22 —

Half-time double chance

87.8% 1.14 —
41.9% 2.39 —
70.3% 1.42 —

Both halves

27.6% 3.63 —

HT/FT

50.7% 1.97 —
5.5% 18.05 —
14.6% 6.86 —
8.9% 11.19 —
6.2% 16.08 —
6.8% 14.68 —

HT/FT double chance

79.7% 1.25 —
73.4% 1.36 —
22.6% 4.43 —
61.6% 1.62 —
61.8% 1.62 —
17.2% 5.83 —
28.9% 3.46 —
30.0% 3.33 —
24.9% 4.01 —

Total goals

97.0% 1.03 —
86.6% 1.15 —
68.6% 1.46 —
47.2% 2.12 —
13.4% 7.49 —
31.4% 3.18 —
52.8% 1.89 —

1st-half goals

81.3% 1.23 —
50.5% 1.98 —

Home team goals

91.3% 1.1 —
70.7% 1.42 —

Away team goals

66.3% 1.51 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Both to score

60.7% 1.65 —

Corners

81.2% 1.23 —
72.0% 1.39 —
61.5% 1.62 —
50.5% 1.98 —
39.7% 2.52 —
28.0% 3.57 —
38.5% 2.6 —
49.5% 2.02 —
60.3% 1.66 —

Home corners

86.7% 1.15 —
75.4% 1.33 —
62.1% 1.61 —

Away corners

58.3% 1.71 —
39.9% 2.5 —
25.1% 3.99 —

Cards

77.6% 1.29 —
60.9% 1.64 —
43.6% 2.3 —
28.7% 3.48 —
39.1% 2.56 —
56.4% 1.77 —
71.3% 1.4 —

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