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Fixtures / Scotland L1 / 2026-12-19

Hamilton – Alloa

Home 53% 1.89 fair
Draw 25% 3.96 fair
Away 22% 4.56 fair
Expected Goals2.58
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 52.5% → 52.8% +0.4 pp
Draw 25.8% → 25.2% -0.5 pp
Away 21.8% → 21.9% +0.1 pp
Over 2.5 46.4% → 47.4% +1.0 pp
Both teams to score 48.6% → 49.6% +1.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.53 → 2.58 +0.05
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.58
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.42 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.55 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

52.8% 1.89 —
25.2% 3.96 —
21.9% 4.56 —
78.1% 1.28 —
47.2% 2.12 —
74.8% 1.34 —

Half-time result

46.8% 2.14 —
39.6% 2.53 —
13.7% 7.31 —

Half-time double chance

86.3% 1.16 —
53.2% 1.88 —
60.5% 1.65 —

Both halves

16.5% 6.06 —

HT/FT

37.9% 2.64 —
6.7% 14.93 —
13.5% 7.39 —
15.7% 6.36 —
10.3% 9.74 —
9.4% 10.58 —

HT/FT double chance

73.9% 1.35 —
63.9% 1.57 —
34.9% 2.87 —
48.8% 2.05 —
50.9% 1.96 —
21.2% 4.72 —
33.5% 2.99 —
34.7% 2.88 —
38.3% 2.61 —

Total goals

92.3% 1.08 —
73.2% 1.37 —
47.4% 2.11 —
25.9% 3.87 —
26.8% 3.74 —
52.6% 1.9 —
74.1% 1.35 —

1st-half goals

70.0% 1.43 —
34.1% 2.93 —

Home team goals

80.1% 1.25 —
48.2% 2.08 —

Away team goals

61.8% 1.62 —
25.1% 3.99 —

Both to score

49.6% 2.02 —

Corners

75.3% 1.33 —
65.7% 1.52 —
55.6% 1.8 —
45.9% 2.18 —
36.3% 2.75 —
34.3% 2.91 —
44.4% 2.25 —
54.1% 1.85 —
63.7% 1.57 —

Home corners

79.7% 1.26 —
67.2% 1.49 —
54.2% 1.85 —

Away corners

56.6% 1.77 —
40.8% 2.45 —
27.1% 3.69 —

Cards

66.0% 1.52 —
46.2% 2.17 —
29.1% 3.44 —
16.8% 5.96 —
53.8% 1.86 —
70.9% 1.41 —
83.2% 1.2 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds