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Fixtures / Scotland Champ / 2026-12-19

Morton – Arbroath

Home 46% 2.16 fair
Draw 26% 3.92 fair
Away 28% 3.55 fair
Expected Goals2.65
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.549%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 43.1% → 46.3% +3.2 pp
Draw 27.5% → 25.5% -2.0 pp
Away 29.3% → 28.2% -1.2 pp
Over 2.5 44.8% → 48.9% +4.1 pp
Both teams to score 49.9% → 52.6% +2.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.47 → 2.65 +0.18
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.65
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.57 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.48 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

46.3% 2.16 —
25.5% 3.92 —
28.2% 3.55 —
71.8% 1.39 —
53.7% 1.86 —
74.5% 1.34 —

Half-time result

37.7% 2.65 —
44.2% 2.26 —
18.0% 5.55 —

Half-time double chance

82.0% 1.22 —
62.3% 1.61 —
55.8% 1.79 —

Both halves

13.1% 7.65 —

HT/FT

29.2% 3.43 —
6.0% 16.72 —
15.3% 6.54 —
15.9% 6.29 —
13.0% 7.67 —
3.6% 27.55 —
12.6% 7.97 —

HT/FT double chance

66.4% 1.51 —
60.1% 1.66 —
37.5% 2.67 —
40.6% 2.46 —
46.2% 2.17 —
24.7% 4.04 —
36.7% 2.73 —
42.7% 2.34 —
45.1% 2.22 —

Total goals

92.6% 1.08 —
73.6% 1.36 —
48.9% 2.04 —
27.3% 3.66 —
26.4% 3.79 —
51.1% 1.96 —
72.7% 1.38 —

1st-half goals

65.3% 1.53 —
29.2% 3.42 —

Home team goals

78.0% 1.28 —
44.7% 2.24 —

Away team goals

67.2% 1.49 —
31.2% 3.21 —

Both to score

52.6% 1.9 —

Corners

66.8% 1.5 —
56.8% 1.76 —
46.8% 2.14 —
37.2% 2.68 —
28.7% 3.49 —
43.2% 2.31 —
53.2% 1.88 —
62.7% 1.59 —
71.3% 1.4 —

Home corners

62.9% 1.59 —
47.5% 2.11 —
33.7% 2.97 —

Away corners

65.0% 1.54 —
50.2% 1.99 —
36.4% 2.75 —

Cards

77.0% 1.3 —
61.2% 1.63 —
45.0% 2.22 —
30.6% 3.26 —
38.8% 2.58 —
55.0% 1.82 —
69.3% 1.44 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds