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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-19

Stockport – Milton Keynes Dons

Home 60% 1.66 fair
Draw 21% 4.76 fair
Away 19% 5.35 fair
Expected Goals3.08
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.559%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 68.7% → 60.3% -8.3 pp
Draw 18.5% → 21.0% +2.5 pp
Away 12.8% → 18.7% +5.9 pp
Over 2.5 58.3% → 59.4% +1.0 pp
Both teams to score 49.9% → 56.1% +6.2 pp
Expected Goals 3.04 → 3.08 +0.04
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.08
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.07 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.4 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

60.3% 1.66 —
21.0% 4.76 —
18.7% 5.35 —
81.3% 1.23 —
39.7% 2.52 —
79.0% 1.27 —

Half-time result

38.0% 2.63 —
42.2% 2.37 —
19.7% 5.07 —

Half-time double chance

80.3% 1.25 —
62.0% 1.61 —
57.8% 1.73 —

Both halves

20.5% 4.88 —

HT/FT

33.0% 3.03 —
3.8% 26.39 —
22.7% 4.4 —
12.2% 8.16 —
7.3% 13.74 —
4.6% 21.88 —
5.0% 20.16 —
10.2% 9.79 —

HT/FT double chance

71.8% 1.39 —
64.2% 1.56 —
24.5% 4.08 —
46.3% 2.16 —
49.0% 2.04 —
20.2% 4.96 —
44.5% 2.25 —
44.8% 2.23 —
34.7% 2.88 —

Total goals

95.2% 1.05 —
81.0% 1.23 —
59.4% 1.68 —
37.1% 2.69 —
19.0% 5.27 —
40.6% 2.46 —
62.9% 1.59 —

1st-half goals

68.4% 1.46 —
32.1% 3.11 —

Home team goals

86.6% 1.15 —
60.6% 1.65 —

Away team goals

64.7% 1.55 —
27.9% 3.58 —

Both to score

56.1% 1.78 —

Corners

73.1% 1.37 —
63.0% 1.59 —
52.3% 1.91 —
41.9% 2.38 —
32.9% 3.04 —
37.0% 2.71 —
47.7% 2.1 —
58.1% 1.72 —
67.1% 1.49 —

Home corners

78.4% 1.28 —
65.6% 1.52 —
52.0% 1.92 —

Away corners

54.4% 1.84 —
38.1% 2.62 —
24.9% 4.01 —

Cards

62.9% 1.59 —
43.0% 2.33 —
26.6% 3.75 —
15.3% 6.55 —
57.0% 1.75 —
73.4% 1.36 —
84.7% 1.18 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds