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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-19

Reading – Leicester

Home 49% 2.05 fair
Draw 23% 4.42 fair
Away 29% 3.51 fair
Expected Goals3.2
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.562%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 61.9% → 48.9% -13.0 pp
Draw 20.1% → 22.7% +2.5 pp
Away 18.0% → 28.5% +10.5 pp
Over 2.5 63.3% → 61.6% -1.7 pp
Both teams to score 58.8% → 62.1% +3.3 pp
Expected Goals 3.26 → 3.2 -0.06
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.65 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.7 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

48.9% 2.05 —
22.7% 4.42 —
28.5% 3.51 —
71.5% 1.4 —
51.1% 1.96 —
77.3% 1.29 —

Half-time result

37.6% 2.66 —
37.3% 2.68 —
25.1% 3.99 —

Half-time double chance

74.9% 1.33 —
62.3% 1.6 —
62.7% 1.59 —

Both halves

15.8% 6.33 —

HT/FT

30.4% 3.29 —
5.2% 19.27 —
15.2% 6.59 —
12.2% 8.23 —
9.9% 10.06 —
3.3% 30.49 —
5.3% 18.83 —
16.5% 6.07 —

HT/FT double chance

62.9% 1.59 —
57.6% 1.74 —
29.4% 3.41 —
44.2% 2.26 —
52.2% 1.91 —
29.0% 3.44 —
35.9% 2.78 —
44.9% 2.23 —
43.9% 2.28 —

Total goals

96.0% 1.04 —
82.7% 1.21 —
61.6% 1.62 —
39.8% 2.51 —
17.3% 5.79 —
38.4% 2.6 —
60.2% 1.66 —

1st-half goals

76.2% 1.31 —
42.1% 2.38 —

Home team goals

83.8% 1.19 —
55.1% 1.81 —

Away team goals

74.3% 1.35 —
38.8% 2.58 —

Both to score

62.1% 1.61 —

Corners

77.2% 1.3 —
67.9% 1.47 —
58.3% 1.72 —
48.3% 2.07 —
38.5% 2.59 —
32.1% 3.11 —
41.7% 2.4 —
51.7% 1.93 —
61.5% 1.63 —

Home corners

67.4% 1.48 —
51.9% 1.93 —
37.4% 2.67 —

Away corners

75.5% 1.33 —
61.5% 1.63 —
47.6% 2.1 —

Cards

67.9% 1.47 —
48.5% 2.06 —
31.9% 3.14 —
19.0% 5.26 —
51.5% 1.94 —
68.2% 1.47 —
81.0% 1.23 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds