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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-19

Plymouth – Mansfield

Home 50% 2.02 fair
Draw 23% 4.38 fair
Away 28% 3.63 fair
Expected Goals3.03
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.558%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 51.6% → 49.6% -2.0 pp
Draw 22.8% → 22.8% +0.0 pp
Away 25.6% → 27.6% +2.0 pp
Over 2.5 58.9% → 58.5% -0.4 pp
Both teams to score 59.1% → 59.4% +0.4 pp
Expected Goals 3.04 → 3.03 -0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.03
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.07 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.36 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

49.6% 2.02 —
22.8% 4.38 —
27.6% 3.63 —
72.4% 1.38 —
50.4% 1.98 —
77.2% 1.3 —

Half-time result

34.9% 2.86 —
37.4% 2.68 —
27.7% 3.61 —

Half-time double chance

72.3% 1.38 —
65.1% 1.54 —
62.6% 1.6 —

Both halves

15.1% 6.64 —

HT/FT

29.4% 3.4 —
4.1% 24.33 —
16.6% 6.01 —
12.7% 7.91 —
8.1% 12.38 —
3.6% 27.78 —
6.1% 16.47 —
18.0% 5.54 —

HT/FT double chance

62.8% 1.59 —
55.5% 1.8 —
26.3% 3.81 —
43.1% 2.32 —
52.5% 1.91 —
29.7% 3.37 —
38.9% 2.57 —
46.4% 2.16 —
44.8% 2.23 —

Total goals

95.2% 1.05 —
80.2% 1.25 —
58.5% 1.71 —
35.8% 2.79 —
19.8% 5.06 —
41.5% 2.41 —
64.2% 1.56 —

1st-half goals

76.8% 1.3 —
43.1% 2.32 —

Home team goals

83.0% 1.21 —
52.6% 1.9 —

Away team goals

71.7% 1.39 —
35.8% 2.79 —

Both to score

59.4% 1.68 —

Corners

72.5% 1.38 —
62.7% 1.6 —
52.3% 1.91 —
42.3% 2.36 —
33.4% 2.99 —
37.3% 2.68 —
47.7% 2.09 —
57.7% 1.73 —
66.6% 1.5 —

Home corners

70.3% 1.42 —
55.1% 1.81 —
40.8% 2.45 —

Away corners

66.0% 1.52 —
50.4% 1.98 —
36.4% 2.75 —

Cards

76.6% 1.3 —
60.0% 1.67 —
43.5% 2.3 —
28.7% 3.48 —
40.0% 2.5 —
56.5% 1.77 —
71.3% 1.4 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds