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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-19

Blackpool – Burton

Home 48% 2.09 fair
Draw 26% 3.87 fair
Away 26% 3.81 fair
Expected Goals2.56
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 48.6% → 47.9% -0.6 pp
Draw 25.2% → 25.8% +0.7 pp
Away 26.3% → 26.2% -0.0 pp
Over 2.5 47.9% → 47.2% -0.7 pp
Both teams to score 50.8% → 50.8% +0.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.59 → 2.56 -0.03
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.56
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.83 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.71 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

47.9% 2.09 —
25.8% 3.87 —
26.2% 3.81 —
73.8% 1.36 —
52.0% 1.92 —
74.2% 1.35 —

Half-time result

35.1% 2.85 —
43.9% 2.28 —
21.1% 4.75 —

Half-time double chance

78.9% 1.27 —
64.9% 1.54 —
56.1% 1.78 —

Both halves

13.6% 7.37 —

HT/FT

28.4% 3.52 —
5.1% 19.72 —
17.1% 5.85 —
16.1% 6.21 —
10.7% 9.35 —
4.7% 21.46 —
13.9% 7.18 —

HT/FT double chance

66.6% 1.5 —
57.8% 1.73 —
33.5% 2.99 —
40.6% 2.46 —
46.4% 2.16 —
25.3% 3.96 —
40.3% 2.48 —
44.2% 2.26 —
45.4% 2.2 —

Total goals

92.1% 1.09 —
72.2% 1.39 —
47.2% 2.12 —
25.7% 3.89 —
27.8% 3.59 —
52.8% 1.9 —
74.3% 1.35 —

1st-half goals

66.7% 1.5 —
30.6% 3.27 —

Home team goals

78.1% 1.28 —
44.7% 2.24 —

Away team goals

64.9% 1.54 —
28.4% 3.52 —

Both to score

50.8% 1.97 —

Corners

71.5% 1.4 —
61.0% 1.64 —
49.9% 2.0 —
39.7% 2.52 —
30.3% 3.3 —
39.0% 2.56 —
50.1% 2.0 —
60.3% 1.66 —
69.7% 1.43 —

Home corners

70.0% 1.43 —
54.4% 1.84 —
39.6% 2.53 —

Away corners

64.1% 1.56 —
48.4% 2.07 —
34.0% 2.94 —

Cards

68.2% 1.47 —
49.2% 2.03 —
32.1% 3.11 —
19.2% 5.2 —
50.8% 1.97 —
67.9% 1.47 —
80.8% 1.24 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds