Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-19
Sheffield Weds – Luton
Home
50%
2.01 fair
Draw
23%
4.27 fair
Away
27%
3.73 fair
Expected Goals2.96
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
67.5%
→
49.8%
-17.7 pp
Draw
18.2%
→
23.4%
+5.2 pp
Away
14.3%
→
26.8%
+12.5 pp
Over 2.5
64.7%
→
56.7%
-8.0 pp
Both teams to score
56.4%
→
58.1%
+1.7 pp
Expected Goals
3.32 →
2.96
-0.36
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 45.6% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.04 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — |
Both halves
| 15.0% | 6.67 | — |
HT/FT
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.65 | — | |||
| 11.5% | 8.72 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.69 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.88 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.0 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.02 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.42 | — |
Total goals
| 94.8% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.84 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.4% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — |
Away team goals
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.93 | — |
Both to score
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — |
Corners
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — |
Home corners
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — |
Away corners
| 74.9% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — |
Cards
| 71.7% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds