Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-19
Burnley – Stoke
Home
52%
1.92 fair
Draw
25%
3.96 fair
Away
23%
4.4 fair
Expected Goals2.49
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.545%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
58.2%
→
52.0%
-6.2 pp
Draw
24.6%
→
25.3%
+0.6 pp
Away
17.1%
→
22.7%
+5.6 pp
Over 2.5
43.1%
→
45.2%
+2.0 pp
Both teams to score
43.2%
→
47.8%
+4.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.41 →
2.49
+0.08
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 25.3% | 3.96 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.4 | — | |||
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 17.9% | 5.59 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 82.1% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — |
Both halves
| 15.4% | 6.49 | — |
HT/FT
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 19.88 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.02 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.2 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.66 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.33 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.49 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 71.2% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.42 | — |
Total goals
| 91.9% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.21 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.45 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — |
1st-half goals
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.16 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — |
Away team goals
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.17 | — |
Both to score
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — |
Corners
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — |
Home corners
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — |
Away corners
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — |
Cards
| 73.3% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds