Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-19
Watford – Bolton
Home
46%
2.17 fair
Draw
24%
4.16 fair
Away
30%
3.35 fair
Expected Goals2.96
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
36.1%
→
46.1%
+10.0 pp
Draw
25.8%
→
24.0%
-1.8 pp
Away
38.1%
→
29.9%
-8.2 pp
Over 2.5
51.3%
→
56.7%
+5.3 pp
Both teams to score
55.5%
→
58.7%
+3.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.73 →
2.96
+0.23
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.16 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 23.2% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.5 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — |
Both halves
| 12.2% | 8.17 | — |
HT/FT
| 20.6% | 4.85 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.24 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 7.98 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.49 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.75 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.62 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.95 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — |
Total goals
| 94.7% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 20.5% | 4.89 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — |
Home team goals
| 81.0% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — |
Away team goals
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — |
Both to score
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
Corners
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — |
Home corners
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — |
Away corners
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — |
Cards
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.87 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds